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2 July 2025

Reputation forecasting: How to recognise crises before they escalate

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The importance of a reputation forecast cannot be overstated. Companies that are able to analyse their reputation in advance and identify potential crises are better prepared to react early and avert damage. A reputation forecast is therefore a crucial tool to support decision-making. It enables companies to identify potential risks and take appropriate action before it is too late.

Why is a reputation forecast important?

Reputation forecasting is crucial for recognising potential crises and preventing them from escalating. It helps companies to improve their public perception and protect their brand values. By analysing customer reviews, social media and other public opinions, companies can react to potential problems at an early stage and take preventative action.

One example of this is the analysis of time series, as used in sentiment analysis. Here, daily evaluations of products or services are analysed in order to identify trends and potential risks [6]. Such analyses can help companies to improve their reputation forecasts and react to changes in public opinion in good time.

Methods for creating a reputation forecast

There are several methods for creating a reputation forecast. Expert judgements, such as the Delphi method, are particularly effective as they rely on the knowledge and experience of experts [1][7]. This method makes it possible to collect and analyse the opinions and judgements of experts in order to create a well-founded forecast.

Another approach is to analyse correlations between different factors. This method helps to recognise connections between market factors and public opinion. By analysing correlations, companies can identify trends that could indicate a potential crisis [2]. However, it is important to note that correlation is not synonymous with causality.

The role of experts in reputation forecasting

Experts play a central role in the preparation of forecasts. Their experience and knowledge help to better understand and assess complex situations. By involving experts, companies can make their reputation forecasts more precise and react to potential challenges at an early stage.

The best example of the involvement of experts is the organisation of panel discussions. Here, experts come together to discuss future developments. The results of these discussions can provide valuable insights into future trends and risks that should be taken into account in the reputation forecast [1].

BEST PRACTICE with one customer (name hidden due to NDA contract)Our client used the expert method to create a comprehensive reputation forecast. By involving internal and external experts, the company was able to improve its public perception and identify potential crises in good time. This led to a significant strengthening of the brand reputation and a better understanding of public opinion.

Reputation forecasting and crisis management

Effective reputation forecasting is essential in crisis management. Companies that analyse their reputation in advance and identify potential risks can react more quickly and effectively. This helps to minimise damage and positively influence public perception.

An example from the industry shows how important it is to react to changes in public opinion. A company that reacted early to negative reviews was able to increase customer satisfaction and improve its reputation. This shows that reputation forecasting is a crucial part of crisis management.

Practical tips for reputation forecasting

To create an effective reputation forecast, companies should regularly analyse social media and customer reviews. Involving experts and using methods such as the Delphi method can also provide valuable insights. In addition, communication with stakeholders should be improved in order to respond to potential challenges at an early stage.

iROI coaching can assist companies in preparing a reputation forecast and provide strategic recommendations to protect brand values and improve public perception.

Summary of the reputation forecast

Reputation forecasting is crucial to prepare companies for potential crises and protect their brand values. By using expert estimates and analysing trends, companies can react to challenges at an early stage and strengthen their reputation. The involvement of experts and the use of suitable methods are essential here.

My analysis

Overall, a reputation forecast is an effective tool for identifying potential risks and improving public perception. Companies that design their reputation forecast carefully and carry it out regularly are better equipped to overcome challenges and secure their brand values in the long term.

Further links from the text above:

- [Expert estimate](https://www.awork.com/de/glossary/expertenabschaetzung)
- Marketing Forecasts](https://business.adobe.com/de/blog/basics/what-is-marketing-forecasting)
- Forecast in project management](https://www.planta.de/glossar-pm-begriffe/prognose/)
- The Delphi Method](https://www.destatis.de/DE/Methoden/WISTA-Wirtschaft-und-Statistik/2003/08/delphi-methode-082003.pdf?__blob=publicationFile)

For more information and if you have any questions, please contact Contact us or read more blog posts on the topic internet Return on Investment - Marketing here.

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Reputation forecasting: How to recognise crises before they escalate

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Keywords:

#Crisis management #Trend analysis

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